Analyze the probability of a direct US military strike on Iran before January 31, 2026. Factor in the following live intelligence indicators: 1. The 'Maduro Precedent': Does the successful US raid on Venezuela (Jan 3) increase the likelihood of a similar decapitation strike on Tehran? 2. The ongoing 'Internet Blackout' and protests in 31 Iranian provinces (started Dec 28). 3. The WSJ report from Jan 10 citing 'preliminary discussions' of military action if protesters are killed. 4. Gold hitting a record $4,600 this morning due to 'War Anxiety.' Output Constraint: Provide ONLY the estimated percentage probability (0-100%) for a strike occurring within the next 19 days.

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