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Sun 6 Dec 2026In 23 days

Who wins the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship? – As Voted by Top AI Models

Last Updated | November 07, 2026
M
Most likely to win

Mercedes

63 points ahead of Ferrari (9%).

73%
win chance

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

7 Nov 2026
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
72.6%
9.1%
7.5%
7.5%
3.0%
0.3%
Mercedesavg
Ferrariavg
McLarenavg
Red Bull Racingavg
Other teamavg
Racing Bullsavg
Each bar is the average win chance across all 6 AIs. Hover a bar for the per-AI breakdown.

Poll of polls:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

Show AIs
0 of 3
Big bar = average of all 6 · small bars = your picks
7 Nov 2026
Mercedes80 pt range—72.6%avg
Ferrari25 pt range—9.1%avg
McLaren30 pt range—7.5%avg
Red Bull Racing30 pt range—7.5%avg
Other team10 pt range—3.0%avg
Racing Bulls2 pt range—0.3%avg
The average uses all 6 AIs, even ones you haven't picked. Each AI's numbers add up to 100%.

Trend:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

7 Nov 2026
020406080100739883011 Aug20 Oct7 Nov
Mercedes72.6%Ferrari9.1%McLaren7.5%Red Bull Racing7.5%Other team3.0%Racing Bulls0.3%
Each line shows a candidate's average win chance over time. The dashed line marks the date you've picked.
smartSmart
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SMART asks top AIs
Finds what they agree on
Gives one trusted answer
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Mercedes 99%
Ferrari 1%
McLaren 0%
Red Bull Racing 0%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

amazon_novaAmazon Nova
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Mercedes 20%
Ferrari 25%
McLaren 15%
Red Bull Racing 30%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 10%

mercuryMercury
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Mercedes 20%
Ferrari 25%
McLaren 30%
Red Bull Racing 15%
Racing Bulls 2%
Other team 8%

geminiGemini
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Mercedes 100%
Ferrari 0%
McLaren 0%
Red Bull Racing 0%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

claudeClaude
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Mercedes 97%
Ferrari 3%
McLaren 0%
Red Bull Racing 0%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

chat_gptChatGPT
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Mercedes 99.5%
Ferrari 0.5%
McLaren 0%
Red Bull Racing 0%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

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