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Mon 28 Jun 2027In 235 days

Who wins 2026-27 NHL Rookie of the Year? – As Voted by Top AI Models

Last Updated | October 31, 2026
GM
Most likely to win

Gavin McKenna

5 points ahead of Other player (19%).

24%
win chance

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

31 Oct 2026
0
10
20
30
24.2%
19.3%
16.7%
15.5%
13.8%
10.5%
Gavin McKennaavg
Other playeravg
Ivar Stenbergavg
James Hagensavg
Porter Martoneavg
Anton Frondellavg
Each bar is the average win chance across all 6 AIs. Hover a bar for the per-AI breakdown.

Poll of polls:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

Show AIs
0 of 3
Big bar = average of all 6 · small bars = your picks
31 Oct 2026
Gavin McKenna25 pt range—24.2%avg
Other player30 pt range—19.3%avg
Ivar Stenberg10 pt range—16.7%avg
James Hagens15 pt range—15.5%avg
Porter Martone14 pt range—13.8%avg
Anton Frondell12 pt range—10.5%avg
The average uses all 6 AIs, even ones you haven't picked. Each AI's numbers add up to 100%.

Trend:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

31 Oct 2026
010203040241917161411000030 Jul31 Oct
Gavin McKenna24.2%Other player19.3%Ivar Stenberg16.7%James Hagens15.5%Porter Martone13.8%Anton Frondell10.5%Porter Martone (Flyers)0.0%Matthew Schaefer (Islanders)0.0%Michael Misa (Sharks)0.0%Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)0.0%
Each line shows a candidate's average win chance over time. The dashed line marks the date you've picked.
smartSmart
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SMART asks top AIs
Finds what they agree on
Gives one trusted answer
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Gavin McKenna 25%
Porter Martone 19%
Ivar Stenberg 17%
Anton Frondell 12%
James Hagens 14%
Other player 13%

amazon_novaAmazon Nova
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Gavin McKenna 10%
Porter Martone 20%
Ivar Stenberg 15%
Anton Frondell 10%
James Hagens 10%
Other player 35%

mercuryMercury
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Gavin McKenna 15%
Porter Martone 10%
Ivar Stenberg 12%
Anton Frondell 18%
James Hagens 25%
Other player 20%

geminiGemini
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Gavin McKenna 35%
Porter Martone 20%
Ivar Stenberg 15%
Anton Frondell 10%
James Hagens 15%
Other player 5%

claudeClaude
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Gavin McKenna 28%
Porter Martone 8%
Ivar Stenberg 22%
Anton Frondell 6%
James Hagens 15%
Other player 21%

chat_gptChatGPT
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Gavin McKenna 32%
Porter Martone 6%
Ivar Stenberg 19%
Anton Frondell 7%
James Hagens 14%
Other player 22%

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