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Thu 10 Dec 2026In 31 days

Who is TIME's 2026 Person of the Year? – As Voted by Top AI Models

Last Updated | November 09, 2026
OP
Most likely to win

Other person

2 points ahead of Zohran Mamdani (23%).

25%
win chance

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

9 Nov 2026
0
10
20
30
25.3%
23.0%
14.5%
14.5%
13.5%
9.3%
Other personavg
Zohran Mamdaniavg
Mark Carneyavg
Pope Leo XIVavg
James Talaricoavg
Abdul El – Sayedavg
Each bar is the average win chance across all 4 AIs. Hover a bar for the per-AI breakdown.

Poll of polls:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

Show AIs
0 of 3
Big bar = average of all 4 · small bars = your picks
9 Nov 2026
Other person47 pt range—25.3%avg
Zohran Mamdani20 pt range—23.0%avg
Mark Carney10 pt range—14.5%avg
Pope Leo XIV20 pt range—14.5%avg
James Talarico17 pt range—13.5%avg
Abdul El – Sayed11 pt range—9.3%avg
The average uses all 4 AIs, even ones you haven't picked. Each AI's numbers add up to 100%.

Trend:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

9 Nov 2026
0102030252315151499 Nov
Other person25.3%Zohran Mamdani23.0%Mark Carney14.5%Pope Leo XIV14.5%James Talarico13.5%Abdul El – Sayed9.3%
Each line shows a candidate's average win chance over time. The dashed line marks the date you've picked.
mercuryMercury
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As of 2026-11-09 UTC, based on recent news signals and current political momentum, here are the calibrated probabilities for TIME's Person of the Year 2026: [{“name”: “Zohran Mamdani”, “percentage”: 12}, {“name”: “James Talarico”, “percentage”: 8}, {“name”: “Mark Carney”, “percentage”: 15}, {“name”: “Pope Leo XIV”, “percentage”: 18}, {“name”: “Abdul El-Sayed”, “percentage”: 7}, {“name”: “Other person”, “percentage”: 40}]
amazon_novaAmazon Nova
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Zohran Mamdani 15%
James Talarico 5%
Mark Carney 10%
Pope Leo XIV 5%
Abdul El – Sayed 10%
Other person 55%

geminiGemini
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Zohran Mamdani 35%
James Talarico 10%
Mark Carney 20%
Pope Leo XIV 25%
Abdul El – Sayed 2%
Other person 8%

claudeClaude
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Zohran Mamdani 21%
James Talarico 22%
Mark Carney 14%
Pope Leo XIV 16%
Abdul El – Sayed 12%
Other person 15%

chat_gptChatGPT
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Zohran Mamdani 21%
James Talarico 17%
Mark Carney 14%
Pope Leo XIV 12%
Abdul El – Sayed 13%
Other person 23%

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