Mon 30 Nov 2026In 34 days

What will Trump's net approval rating be on Nov. 30, 2026? – As Voted by Top AI Models

Last Updated | October 27, 2026

–2

Most likely to win

– 25.3 to – 23.3

10 points ahead of – 27.3 to – 25.3 (24%).

34%

win chance

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

27 Oct 2026

33.8%

23.8%

20.0%

14.0%

8.3%

– 25.3 to – 23.3avg

– 27.3 to – 25.3avg

– 23.3 to – 21.3avg

Below – 27.3avg

Above – 21.3avg

Each bar is the average win chance across all 6 AIs. Hover a bar for the per-AI breakdown.

Poll of polls:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

Show AIs

0 of 3

Big bar = average of all 6 · small bars = your picks

27 Oct 2026

– 25.3 to – 23.326 pt range—33.8%avg

– 27.3 to – 25.319 pt range—23.8%avg

– 23.3 to – 21.316 pt range—20.0%avg

Below – 27.327 pt range—14.0%avg

Above – 21.310 pt range—8.3%avg

The average uses all 6 AIs, even ones you haven't picked. Each AI's numbers add up to 100%.

Trend:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

27 Oct 2026

– 25.3 to – 23.333.8%– 27.3 to – 25.323.8%– 23.3 to – 21.320.0%Below – 27.314.0%Above – 21.38.3%

Each line shows a candidate's average win chance over time. The dashed line marks the date you've picked.

Amazon Nova

Below – 27.3 10%
– 27.3 to – 25.3 20%
– 25.3 to – 23.3 30%
– 23.3 to – 21.3 25%
Above – 21.3 15%

Mercury

Below – 27.3 10%
– 27.3 to – 25.3 25%
– 25.3 to – 23.3 30%
– 23.3 to – 21.3 25%
Above – 21.3 10%

Gemini

Below – 27.3 10%
– 27.3 to – 25.3 15%
– 25.3 to – 23.3 45%
– 23.3 to – 21.3 20%
Above – 21.3 10%

Claude

Below – 27.3 15%
– 27.3 to – 25.3 25%
– 25.3 to – 23.3 35%
– 23.3 to – 21.3 20%
Above – 21.3 5%

DeepSeek

Below – 27.3 6%
– 27.3 to – 25.3 24%
– 25.3 to – 23.3 44%
– 23.3 to – 21.3 21%
Above – 21.3 5%

ChatGPT

Below – 27.3 33%
– 27.3 to – 25.3 34%
– 25.3 to – 23.3 19%
– 23.3 to – 21.3 9%
Above – 21.3 5%

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