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Who wins the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship? – As Voted by Top AI Models

Last Updated | October 20, 2026

Most likely to win

Mercedes

62 points ahead of Ferrari (11%).

73%

win chance

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

20 Oct 2026

73.4%

11.0%

6.8%

5.1%

2.5%

1.3%

Mercedesavg

Ferrariavg

Red Bull Racingavg

McLarenavg

Racing Bullsavg

Other teamavg

Each bar is the average win chance across all 4 AIs. Hover a bar for the per-AI breakdown.

Amazon Nova

Mercedes 25%
Ferrari 20%
McLaren 15%
Red Bull Racing 25%
Racing Bulls 10%
Other team 5%

Mercury

[{ "name": "Mercedes", "percentage": 15 }, "name": "Ferrari", "percentage": 20 }, "name": "McLaren", "percentage": 35 }, "name": "Red Bull Racing", "percentage": 20 }, { "name": "Racing Bulls", "percentage": 5 }, { "name": "Other team", "percentage": 5 }]

Gemini

Mercedes 85%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 2%
Red Bull Racing 1%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

Claude

Mercedes 89%
Ferrari 7%
McLaren 3%
Red Bull Racing 1%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

ChatGPT

Mercedes 94.5%
Ferrari 5%
McLaren 0.3%
Red Bull Racing 0.2%
Racing Bulls 0%
Other team 0%

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