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Wed 30 Jun 2027In 249 days

Who wins the 2026-27 NHL MVP (Hart Trophy)? – As Voted by Top AI Models

Last Updated | October 20, 2026
CM
Most likely to win

Connor McDavid

8 points ahead of Nathan MacKinnon (24%).

32%
win chance

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

20 Oct 2026
0
10
20
30
40
32.0%
23.7%
20.0%
9.3%
8.7%
6.3%
Connor McDavidavg
Nathan MacKinnonavg
Macklin Celebriniavg
Leon Draisaitlavg
Other playeravg
Auston Matthewsavg
Each bar is the average win chance across all 3 AIs. Hover a bar for the per-AI breakdown.

Poll of polls:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

Show AIs
0 of 3
Big bar = average of all 3 · small bars = your picks
20 Oct 2026
Connor McDavid4 pt range—32.0%avg
Nathan MacKinnon3 pt range—23.7%avg
Macklin Celebrini4 pt range—20.0%avg
Leon Draisaitl6 pt range—9.3%avg
Other player13 pt range—8.7%avg
Auston Matthews4 pt range—6.3%avg
The average uses all 3 AIs, even ones you haven't picked. Each AI's numbers add up to 100%.

Trend:

Win chance, as voted by top AI models

20 Oct 2026
010203040322420996018 Aug20 Oct
Connor McDavid32.0%Nathan MacKinnon23.7%Macklin Celebrini20.0%Leon Draisaitl9.3%Other player8.7%Auston Matthews6.3%Nikita Kucherov0.0%
Each line shows a candidate's average win chance over time. The dashed line marks the date you've picked.
mercuryMercury
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[{\"name\": \"Connor McDavid\", \"percentage\": 35}, {\"name\": \"Nathan MacKinnon\", \"percentage\": 20}, {\"name\": \"Macklin Celebrini\", \"percentage\": 10}, {\"name\": \"Leon Draisaitl\", \"percentage\": 15}, {\"name\": \"Auston Matthews\", \"percentage\": 15}, {\"name\": \"Other player\", \"percentage\": 5}]
geminiGemini
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Connor McDavid 30%
Nathan MacKinnon 25%
Macklin Celebrini 20%
Leon Draisaitl 10%
Auston Matthews 8%
Other player 7%

claudeClaude
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Connor McDavid 32%
Nathan MacKinnon 24%
Macklin Celebrini 22%
Leon Draisaitl 12%
Auston Matthews 7%
Other player 3%

chat_gptChatGPT
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Connor McDavid 34%
Nathan MacKinnon 22%
Macklin Celebrini 18%
Leon Draisaitl 6%
Auston Matthews 4%
Other player 16%

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